How it works, and how we know
The pages that produce answers are elsewhere. These are the ones that say why the answers can be trusted, where the method breaks, and what it got wrong on the way.
Check it against your own data
Before trusting an answer on a market of yours, find out whether the assumptions behind it hold there.
Does this model fit my market?
Drop in a price or flow series and find out whether the assumptions behind every answer on this site hold for your data — and, when they do not, exactly which quantity your data fails to pin down.
/diagnoseTwo single-purpose panels
The reciprocity and irreversibility panels on their own, for pasting a series into. Superseded by the fit check, kept working.
/toolsThe map and the engine
Where a situation sits determines whether timing or structure is the thing to fix.
The map of every game
9,900 solved games arranged by structure and rationality, showing which regions circulate forever and which settle.
/phaseThe raw solver bench
Any payoff table, any rationality setting, every quantity the library computes. No practitioner framing: this is the engine with the covers off.
/labThe record
Including the parts that did not work out.
The anomaly log
Every unexpected result, including the retractions and the hypotheses that died. Each entry carries the seed that regenerates it.
/findingsElectricity market reading
CAISO day-ahead and real-time prices through the same machinery, and what the difference between the two says about who is driving whom.
/marketsThe five-minute tour
How this started, what was expected, and what actually turned up.
/story